THE COMING
WAVE by Mustafa Suleyman, subtitled “Technology,
Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma,” is about the potential
impact of advanced artificial intelligence (AI) and biotechnology. Suleyman,
co-founder of DeepMind, illustrates the point beautifully in the prologue which
notes, “we are faced with a choice – a choice between a future of unparalleled
possibility and a future of unimaginable peril.” He argues for containment,
admitting that it is extremely difficult, but necessary and suggests biomedical
ethics and regulations as a possible model. He also encourages readers to look
at “choke points” (e.g., chip production) as another means of control or
restraint. Think about changes we have seen in the last few years: Suleyman
says, “Today, AI systems can almost perfectly recognize faces and objects. We
take speech-to-text transcription and instant language translation for granted.
… AI has been climbing the ladder of cognitive abilities for decades, and it
now looks set to reach human-level performance across a very wide range of tasks
within the next three years.” That is a very specific prediction from an
experienced and well-regarded expert. THE
COMING WAVE is a disturbing read, but one which
merits much discussion and has received praise from Daniel Kahneman (“essential
reading”), Bill Gates (“an excellent guide”), and Eric Schmidt (“utterly
unmissable”). More information is available through interviews on Axios and on Have a Nice Future from Wired magazine.
Thursday, September 7, 2023
The Coming Wave by Mustafa Suleyman
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